Swaziland HIV estimates and projections report 2015
Spectrum is a suite of easy to use policy models which provide policymakers with an analytical tool to support decision making processes. Spectrum was used in modelling the magnitude of the HIV epidemic and the demographic, social and economic impacts in Swaziland. The projections were generated by a Mutisectoral Estimates and Projections Core Team led by NERCHA, in 2015.
According to the 2015 estimates and projections, HIV incidence in the 15-49 year olds is estimated at 1.9 [1.6-2.3] in 2015, declining from a high of 5% in the mid-90s. Incidence will further decline to 1.7% in 2018.